RESTORE TERM LIMITS PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN


A STRUGGLE TO RESTORE THE CONSTITUTION AND PRESIDENTIAL TERM LIMITS


“The problem of Africa in general and in Uganda in particular is not the people but leaders who want to overstay in power.”
President Yoweri Museveni, 1986
(He’s now in power for 26 years)

A country’s constitution must be made to serve the country and its people and not individuals who are here today and tomorrow they’re no more.
In his book, ‘Politics’, Andrew Heywood noted that; “The enactment of a constitution marks a major breach in political continuity, usually resulting from an upheaval such as a war, revolution or National Independence. Constitutions are above all a means of establishing a new political order following the rejection, collapse or failure of an old order. In general, it can be said that political conflicts assume a constitutional dimension only when those demanding change seek to redraw, and not merely re-adjust the rules of the political game………….”
 Thomas Hobbes describes the principle human inclination as; “‘a perpetual and restless desire for power after power that ceases only in death’. In this light, the roots of social disorder can be seen to reside in the individual human being, a view sometimes linked to the Christian doctrine of ‘original sin’. Order can therefore be maintained only by strict laws, firm enforcement and harsh penalties. This is the only means of preventing a descent into chaos and barbarity.”
 
Since independence Uganda has never experienced peaceful transfer of power from one President to another. This country has since experienced violent political change that has cost us in terms of life and property and disruption of the economy. We have had more than three coup d’état, a foreign invasion and occupation by neighboring Tanzania aided by a few armed Ugandans, and several guerrilla movements including the one that brought into power the current government of President Yoweri Museveni in January 1986, which has been in power for 26 years and will be 30 years if this current five year PURCHASED MANDATE happens to be completed in 2016.

It is this violent history of political succession in Uganda that made the people of Uganda through the ODOKI commission to make their views known with regard to presidential term limits. The concern of the people was reported by the Odoki commission as follows;-
“The people’s concern is that every President should strictly observe his term of office as laid down in the constitution…………….The people wish to participate in the system, which will bring in a new President, send out the old one or extend the term of office of the incumbent. The people would like to see peaceful transfer of power at all times.”
Accordingly, Article 105(2) was put in the 1995 constitution to limit the number of terms the President can serve. It states;
 “A person shall not be elected under this constitution to hold office as President for more than two terms as prescribed by this Article.”
However, before this article could be tested it was violated by its own maker who upon seeing his bonus two terms expiring decided to delete it. He had quickly forgotten and learnt nothing from history due to his unquenchable thirsty for power and therefore found reasons to justify his action. The reasons he gave to lift term limits had been considered but rightly ignored during the constitutional making process due to our history which cannot be erased. For that matter we shall not dwell so much on the pros and cons of Presidential term limits in the case of Uganda because its violent history cannot be deleted and the conditions and circumstances have not changed. We shall only bother ourselves with three issues;-

1)    The reason given by cabinet in its proposal that Article 105(2) of the 1995 constitution be repealed in order to remove the two five year term limit on the holding of office by the President. The rationale given was that this would allow the people to decide the number of times a person may serve as President by their support or rejection at the polls in consonance with article 1 of the constitution, which provides that all power belongs to the people who are to determine by whom they are to be governed.

2)    The findings of the Constitutional Review Commission (CRC) regarding those who were in support of lifting the two 5 year term limit of the period during which the President shall hold offices that was based on the personality and character of the incumbent, President Yoweri Museveni. They wanted the President to stand for another or more terms because he had exceptional leadership qualities, had brought peace, stability, and development to Uganda; and that he had to be given the opportunity to complete his development programmes, and is capable of keeping the country together.


3)    The observation and veiled recommendations of the CRC which were given  as follows;

On the question of term limits, the response of the people was divided. Some people wanted the term limits to be maintained while others wanted the term limits to be lifted. Both those for and against term limits had provided persuasive reasons. The responses, however, were not adequate for us to recommend either for the retention or lifting of term limits. Mere recommendation of retention or lifting of the term limits by this commission without subjecting the issue to exhaustive and comprehensive debate would not be providing for a nationally acceptable solution.

The question of lifting the term limits was more than any issue considered by the commission and generated intense debate. It became a considerable question with key stakeholders in our society taking sides for retention or abolition of the limits. The debate engaged religious leaders, politicians, members of civil society, the Cabinet and the National Conference and even members of the security forces and the country at large. It became a matter of significant importance that could not simply be brushed aside. Already there were clear indications of people who were campaigning for or against the term limits. The controversy had gaining momentum. The stability of the country was not to be taken lightly and a peaceful resolution of the issue that would satisfy all parties had to be found. Regrettably this issue gained momentum at a time when the commission had covered the wider part of the country.

Providing a national solution to this question was not to come with ease. We note that the executive arm of Government through cabinet had taken a stand on the matter. So had the political structures of the movement. Parliament, which under the Constitution is to determine this question, was part of the National Conference of the Movement. The fall back position was the Constitution which provides that:

-         Art.1(1) All power belongs to the people who shall exercise their sovereignty in accordance with this Constitution.

-         Art.1(3) All power and authority of government and its organs derive from this constitution, which in turn derives its authority from the people who consent to be governed in accordance with this Constitution.


-         Art.1(4) The people shall express their will and Consent on who shall govern them and how they should be governed through free and fair elections of their representatives or through referenda.

The commission noted that it was aware that Parliament had powers under article 261 to determine this question. However, under article 1(4) of the Constitution, the ultimate authority lies with the people to determine who and how they should be governed. The referendum would give those for and against term limits the platform to campaign widely among the people. It would determine the issue. In view of the importance of this question and its implications for the country, we recommend that government refers the question of lifting the term limits under article 105(2) of the Constitution to the people to determine through a referendum.

The question therefore was whether the people would be able to make a decision in a free and fair manner. The commission’s findings indicated……………………..that the electoral process is not free from flaws. The people had pointed to intimidation by the army, reports of violence against the voters leading to Parliamentary probe into the matter, there had been several cases of electoral malpractices brought before the courts, the stifling of party participation in the electoral processes and use of the power of incumbency to influence the outcome. The administrative and legal constraints under which the electoral commission operates need to be addressed. Addressing the above concerns was an essential precondition to a fair determination of this important question.


President Museveni’s tragic inclination for sin caused him to use his mind to rationalize his action because a close study of the above analysis by the Constitutional Review Commission (CRC) on the proposal to lift Presidential term limits leads us to make the following conclusions. That;-

-         The Constitutional Review Commission had wisely but indirectly advised government not to lift Presidential term limits because this was a matter of National stability and too sensitive to be left to Parliament that was so fused with the Executive and therefore lacked its independence.

-         It was not possible for the people to decide on the matter by exercising their sovereignty as guaranteed by Article 1 of the constitution through a referendum since voting by adult suffrage had proved not to be free of manipulation, vote buying and rigging, intimidation and many other negative things that would render the referendum not free and fair. And the electoral commission lacked the capacity to organize free and fair elections.

-         It was clear that most people calling for the lifting of the presidential term limits based their argument on the character, ability and the good performance of the incumbent, President Yoweri Museveni. This argument is so weak since the future of the country cannot be left in the hands of an individual who is here today and tomorrow is no more. In fact, we have a strong belief that if the incumbent who has led this country for so long than any other president  has failed to build strong institutions to hold this country together even when a weak or strong President is in-charge, then that is good enough reason for him to honorably leave as soon as possible. It might be his deliberate move to weaken Institutions as a way of holding this country at ransom.

Sometimes, arrogant and power hungry leaders especially those who have overstayed think themselves as having the monopoly of wisdom to run the Nation. Even with the existence of strong laws and institution, President George W. Bush was tempted to think that without him as President of USA no other Commander-in-Chief could manage to fight and win the war on terror. On this ground, he authored a document that called for lifting of term limits on the US presidency. He has since been proved wrong by the US institutions that have enabled his successor, Barack Obama, seem to be doing a good job in his war against terror.

Former US President Delano Franklin Roosevelt went against tradition and stood and won more two term limits for the US presidency. He had led the US through the 1930s economic depression and the Second World War but when he finally died in office the country moved on.

So the constitution must be left to be tested as originally made especially on an important issue like a limit on Presidential terms. If we succeed in transferring power from one president to another that would be revolutionary in itself and it would complete the now non-existent National Resistance Movement (NRM) Revolution.

-         The public and other stakeholders had not been given chance to exhaustively debate the issue of lifting Presidential term limits.

But as you will note in the commission’s writings, the Executive had already taken a stand on the matter and was determined to lift the presidential term limits. It was the infamous 5 million (five million Uganda shillings) given to Members of Parliament that delivered “victory” in favor of President Museveni in his battle to lift the terms.

We agree with the argument that the constitution is not a static but rather a living document that must be read and interpreted and may be amended in the context of the ever-changing world. But we are also strong believers of the principle that every constitution must be made, read and interpreted, and be amended with the intention of rejecting any form of absolute authority. The constitution must reject any idea of personalizing power. Therefore, as a way of rejecting absolute authority and personalization of power especially in developing countries like Uganda, presidential term limits must be respected. This also prevents arbitrary and violent rule often associated with life presidency. And for that matter, we are calling for the restoration of Presidential term limits in the 1995 Uganda Constitution.

Those for lifting term limits for the presidency argued that they feared that the country may descend into political instability and insecurity because there was no clear successor; they also argued that the president needed more time to complete and sustain his development programmes. These were weak arguments because; in the first place the constitution clearly laid out the right procedures for succession, and secondly, a country can never depend on the idea of one mortal individual who does not guarantee his/her existence for the next day. That individual is not God and we as a Nation must avoid facing God’s wrath for creating a god for ourselves. Thirdly, unlimited presidential terms create political instability due to blocked ambition of political competitors.
In a poor country like Uganda, it becomes hard to defeat the incumbent in an election since he appoints the electoral commission, has access to unlimited funds, and has the state media and coercive state machinery on his side, and has also deeply entrenched himself by developing both party and personal patronage network. So the opposition usually has no option but to contest power by the use of the gun which in itself has brought a lot of suffering to Uganda.

What is very clear is that the incumbent hides behind other reasons to prolong his over stay in power yet his overstay is actually motivated by selfish interests such as vanity and hunger for power, fear of prosecution for corruption and human rights abuses, and lack of opportunity after retirement. He is also probably pushed to prolong his rule due to the anxiety of the neo-patrimonial network that fears prosecution and the loss of connections and privileges after his departure.

In conclusion, to avoid a repeat of Uganda’s past violent history in the struggle to change leaders; the president must initiate or support the process of restoring presidential term limits and resign peacefully when it is still honorable for him to do so. A clause for immunity to prosecution for the person of the President for crimes committed during his/her Presidency may be put in the 1995 constitution. But this compromise must only apply when the president voluntarily resigns or steps down, impeached, or after losing an election or after the completion of his/her two terms. This clause must not apply where the president is forced out of office by force of the gun or people power.

 The following must also be considered;

1)    The Prime Minister of the Republic of Uganda Mr. John Patrick Amaama Mbabazi must resign for his alleged role in the Temangalo corruption scandal, dirty oil dealings, and CHOGM corruption scandals and the President must desist from interfering with Parliamentary and other investigative organs. Mbabazi must only be cleared by a competent court of law and not by the Inspector General of Government (IGG) who is his former assistant and personal friend. Hajji Hassan Basajjabalaba and others allegedly involved in institutional corruption must be prosecuted and immediately refund public money. Government institutions must not be used as a vehicle for political persecution.

When President Museveni resigns, a transitional government must be put in place to run the Country for a non-renewable term not exceeding 12 months (Twelve Months) which must then appoint a competent judicial commission of inquiry to investigate and recommend the prosecution of all those suspected to have committed crimes such as abuse of human rights including murder and torture, and corruption, among others within a period of six months. The head and cabinet members of the transitional government must not contest for any political position after the expiration of their term of office not until after five years.

 The transitional government must amend electoral laws including a law that puts a limit to campaign expenditure so as to eliminate political corruption; and must also put in place an independent electoral commission that will conduct all National general elections.

2)    All persons convicted of political crimes including corruption must never hold any public office including contesting for any political positions.

 Fabricated charges made against political activists and authors must be dropped, and all demonstrators and all political prisoners must be released. Government must cease to deny Ugandans their right to peaceful demonstration. And in this, attempts to enacting a law to deny bail to demonstrators must stop immediately.

Otherwise, with the growing loss of confidence in the system by the people, an increasing reliance on the repressive machinery of the state by the president, together with his ever growing arrogance that is characteristic of dictatorships, state brutality, corruption, insensitivity of the state, a deteriorating economy and poor standards of living, a degrading environment, high rates of youth unemployment, poverty and an ever increasing population, among others; combined with an internal power struggle makes the Museveni regime vulnerable to a civil war, coup d’état, and a nonviolent revolution. We therefore re-iterate our demand for the restoration of presidential term limit before this country descends into chaos. The corrupt must resign or else be forced to resign. Otherwise our leaders might find themselves at The Hague prison, the home of The International Criminal Court like former Ivory Coast President Laurent Gbagbo, Milosevic, and Charles Taylor.

God bless Uganda! “For God and my country”









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